Monday, November 10, 2025
The Euro and the US Dollar are locked in a tense standoff, with the foreign exchange market now a battleground between central bank policy divergence and a profound data crisis in Washington. A record-long government shutdown has plunged the US economy into a “data fog,” forcing the Federal Reserve to navigate by the dim light of plunging consumer sentiment and dire private-sector job reports. This has fueled aggressive bets on a December rate cut. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank stands firm, creating a stark policy divergence. This report deconstructs this high-stakes environment, analyzing the fundamental drivers and key technical levels that will define the Euro to US Dollar exchange rate in the critical week ahead.
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